The Hidden Price of Military Power: Can Morocco Afford to Sustain Its Western Arsenal?


Morocco is assembling one of Africa's most technologically sophisticated military inventories, from F-16 Vipers and Abrams tanks to advanced air-defence systems and Israeli drones. But the price of modern warfare is not paid only when weapons are purchased. It is paid every year they remain operational.

On paper, the Royal Moroccan Armed Forces are undergoing one of the most ambitious military modernisation programmes on the African continent. Driven in large part by strategic competition with neighbouring Algeria, Rabat has spent years upgrading its military capabilities and diversifying its sources of advanced weaponry.

The transformation is visible across several branches of the armed forces. The Royal Moroccan Air Force is introducing the F-16 Block 72 Viper, equipped with the APG-83 AESA radar and advanced electronic systems. Its armoured forces operate American M1A1 Abrams tanks, with further modernisation and technical support arrangements involving General Dynamics. The kingdom is also expanding its air-defence capabilities, acquiring Israeli unmanned systems and investing in a growing portfolio of precision weapons and surveillance technologies.

The ambition is unmistakable: to build a modern force capable of operating alongside technologically advanced Western militaries.

Yet military power has a second price tag, one that rarely receives the same attention as acquisition announcements. Buying a fighter aircraft, a tank or an air-defence battery is only the beginning of a financial commitment that can last several decades. The equipment must be maintained, inspected, repaired, upgraded and supplied with replacement components. Its crews require continuous training, while its software and electronic systems must remain compatible with evolving technologies.

For a country with a nominal economy far smaller than those of the major Western arms-producing nations, the central question is not simply how much Morocco can spend on acquiring advanced weapons. It is how much it can afford to spend keeping them ready.

The danger is not necessarily that the equipment will become unusable. It is that the cost of sustaining an increasingly sophisticated arsenal could gradually constrain the operational tempo, training opportunities and investment in other military capabilities.

The purchase price is only the beginning

Defence economists have long recognised that the acquisition price of a weapon system can represent only a fraction of its total lifetime cost.

The US Government Accountability Office, in its April 2026 assessment of weapon-system sustainment, noted that operating and support expenses historically account for approximately 70 per cent of the total life-cycle cost of a military system. These expenses include maintenance, repair parts, engineering support, contractor services and personnel.

The figure is not a specific estimate for Morocco, and it should not be applied mechanically to every platform. Nevertheless, it illustrates a fundamental reality of modern defence procurement: the most expensive commitment may begin after the equipment has entered service.

A modern fighter is not simply an aircraft with an engine and weapons. It is a complex technological system incorporating radar, electronic warfare equipment, mission computers, encrypted communications, navigation systems and specialised software. Each component requires inspection, technical expertise and access to a reliable supply chain.

A relatively minor failure in a sophisticated electronic subsystem can ground an aircraft just as effectively as a major mechanical defect. Replacing or repairing the component may require specialised equipment, manufacturer approval and international transport.

The same problem exists on the ground. An Abrams tank is not maintained like an older Soviet-designed armoured vehicle. Its turbine engine, transmission, electronics, fire-control systems and specialised components demand a particular maintenance infrastructure. Air-defence systems introduce another layer of complexity, involving radar maintenance, software updates, communications networks and the replenishment of expensive interceptor missiles.

The result is a military inventory whose operational value depends heavily on the reliability of its industrial support system.

The Western equipment dependency

Morocco's modernisation strategy has created a growing relationship with Western and Israeli defence industries. This diversification provides access to advanced technology, but it also introduces a complicated maintenance structure.

Different manufacturers operate different supply chains, technical standards, maintenance procedures and software environments. Spare parts cannot always be sourced independently, while sensitive components may be subject to export controls and manufacturer authorisation.

The F-16 illustrates the scale of this dependency.

In March 2019, the United States approved a possible Foreign Military Sale of 25 F-16 Block 72 aircraft and associated equipment to Morocco, with an estimated package value of $3.787 billion. The proposed package included 29 engines, 26 AESA radars, mission computers, communications equipment, weapons, training systems, spare parts, technical documentation and logistical support.

The package's significance lies not only in the aircraft themselves, but in the extensive support ecosystem required to operate them.

Morocco's relationship with the American defence industry has continued beyond the original acquisition. In August 2026, a US contract worth approximately $42.1 million was awarded to CAE for F-16 Block 72 training systems and contractor logistics support. The programme includes two full-mission simulators and associated equipment, with work extending into 2029.

This is an important investment in operational capability. Simulators allow pilots to accumulate training experience without consuming aircraft flight hours, fuel and airframe life. They can also improve preparation for complex missions.

But they demonstrate something else: modern military capability requires a continuing flow of investment into systems that do not necessarily appear in photographs of fighter aircraft or military parades.

The Abrams programme tells a similar story. In September 2025, General Dynamics Land Systems received a contract modification worth approximately $26.8 million to provide technical support for the Moroccan Abrams fleet, with support extending to February 2027.

These contracts are not evidence of financial weakness. They are evidence of how modern military procurement works. The purchase of advanced equipment creates a continuing commercial relationship with the manufacturer.

For the customer, the challenge is to negotiate favourable support arrangements while developing enough domestic expertise to reduce unnecessary dependence.

The illusion of the cheap acquisition

One reason countries continue purchasing sophisticated foreign equipment is that the initial financial burden can be distributed over several years.

Foreign Military Sales programmes, government-backed financing arrangements, multi-year contracts and phased deliveries can make an expensive acquisition appear more manageable in the short term.

But spreading payments does not eliminate the underlying cost. It changes its timing.

The aircraft still requires engines, inspections, spare parts and periodic overhauls. The tank still needs maintenance, ammunition and specialised technical support. The air-defence system still requires radar servicing, software updates and missile stocks.

A military can therefore find itself managing several overlapping financial obligations: payments for newly acquired equipment, maintenance contracts for existing systems, upgrades to ageing platforms and the training of personnel who must operate increasingly complex technology.

The difficulty becomes more pronounced when several major programmes enter their expensive sustainment phases at the same time.

This is the hidden risk of rapid military modernisation. The acquisition of several advanced platforms can create an impressive order of battle, but the long-term financial burden accumulates across the entire inventory.

Morocco's 190.5-billion-dirham commitment ceiling

The issue has become particularly relevant following the presentation of Morocco's draft 2027 Finance Bill.

Article 36 proposes raising the advance commitment ceiling for the acquisition and repair of Royal Armed Forces equipment and the development of the national defence industry to 190.5 billion dirhams, approximately $19 billion. This represents an increase of 21.2 per cent compared with the previous ceiling of 157.17 billion dirhams.

The headline figure initially appears extraordinary for an economy of Morocco's size. However, it needs to be interpreted correctly.

The 190.5 billion dirhams is not an annual defence expenditure allocation. It is a ceiling allowing the government to enter into commitments during 2027 against appropriations to be opened in 2028. It covers equipment acquisition, major repairs and support for the domestic defence industry.

The actual annual cash allocations are considerably smaller.

According to reporting on the draft budget, the dedicated equipment account is allocated approximately 11.49 billion dirhams for 2027, while the wider defence administration budget includes personnel and other operating expenditure. The advance commitment mechanism allows the government to sign larger multi-year contracts without paying their entire value immediately.

This is a normal instrument of public financial management for long-term procurement. It does not mean that Morocco will spend $19 billion on military equipment in a single year, nor does it mean that the country has already committed that entire amount to specific purchases.

Nevertheless, the increase is revealing. It indicates that Rabat intends to maintain a substantial pipeline of equipment acquisition, repairs and defence-industrial investment.

The more important question is what proportion of future financial resources will be absorbed by maintaining the systems already acquired.

The attempt to bring maintenance home

Morocco is not ignoring this problem. Its defence-industrial ambitions increasingly include the development of local maintenance, repair and overhaul capabilities.

The most visible example is the Maintenance Aéro Maroc project at Benslimane.

Developed through cooperation involving Sabena Engineering, MEDZ and Lockheed Martin, the project centres on an aircraft maintenance hangar exceeding 8,000 square metres. Its initial purpose is to provide heavy maintenance and modernisation capabilities for C-130 Hercules transport aircraft, with provision for F-16 work and future expansion.

The facility is expected to accommodate up to three C-130 aircraft simultaneously and undertake approximately two to four heavy maintenance visits annually, depending on the work required.

This is a strategically important development.

Without domestic maintenance infrastructure, an aircraft requiring major servicing may need to be sent abroad, creating additional transport costs, longer periods outside service and greater dependence on foreign facilities.

A local maintenance centre can shorten turnaround times, train technicians, develop engineering expertise and retain a greater share of maintenance expenditure within the national economy.

However, there is an important distinction between maintaining an aircraft domestically and achieving full technological independence.

A hangar does not automatically provide the ability to manufacture engines, repair every radar component, independently modify mission software or produce all the specialised spare parts required by a modern fighter.

Some work will continue to depend on original equipment manufacturers and foreign technical authorisation.

The real value of Benslimane will therefore be measured not by the size of its hangar, but by the range of maintenance activities it can perform independently, the number of aircraft it can service and the proportion of its supply chain that can be localised.

If the project develops successfully, it could eventually become a regional maintenance centre, serving not only Morocco but potentially other operators of compatible aircraft.

That would transform maintenance from a recurring foreign expenditure into an industrial activity capable of generating skilled employment and technical expertise.

Readiness is the real measure of military power

The difference between possessing a sophisticated weapon and having it ready for combat is often overlooked.

Military inventories are normally described through acquisition numbers: how many aircraft have been ordered, how many tanks are operationally assigned and how many air-defence batteries have been acquired.

But these figures do not reveal how many systems are available for immediate use.

A fighter aircraft may be temporarily unavailable because it requires an engine inspection, replacement electronic components or a scheduled maintenance procedure. Another may be awaiting spare parts. A third may be undergoing a software upgrade.

These are normal features of operating complex military equipment. They do not automatically indicate poor maintenance or an inability to fight.

The problem arises when the supply of spare parts, technical personnel or maintenance capacity becomes insufficient to support the required operational tempo.

The United States itself has experienced this difficulty. A Government Accountability Office assessment of American military aircraft found that the F-16 fleet repeatedly failed to meet its mission-capable goals during the period examined, with ageing aircraft, maintenance requirements and supply challenges among the contributing factors.

If even the United States, with its enormous defence-industrial base and global logistics network, faces difficulties sustaining aircraft availability, the challenge for smaller operators becomes easier to understand.

For Morocco, the key question is therefore not whether its aircraft can technically perform advanced missions. It is whether the country can maintain sufficient aircraft availability while continuing to fund pilot training, spare parts, weapons stocks and periodic upgrades.

The same calculation applies to its ground and air-defence forces.

A Patriot battery without sufficient interceptor stocks, maintenance support or trained operators cannot provide the same deterrent value as a fully sustained system. An Abrams fleet with inadequate replacement parts or specialised maintenance capacity cannot deliver its full battlefield potential.

The number of platforms is only the beginning of the equation. Readiness is what converts acquisition into military capability.

There is no reliable public evidence, however, that Morocco is systematically rationing F-16 flight hours or cannibalising large numbers of aircraft to maintain the remainder of its fleet. Such claims should not be presented as established facts without credible operational data.

The difficulty is that the real maintenance and readiness figures of most armed forces are not publicly disclosed.

The political dimension of military modernisation

Morocco's approach to military organisation is also shaped by its political history.

The failed military coup attempts of 1971 and 1972 left a lasting mark on the monarchy's relationship with the armed forces. The August 16, 1972 attempt, in which fighter aircraft attacked King Hassan II's Boeing 727, demonstrated the danger of political instability within the military hierarchy.

The episode became one of the defining moments in the history of the Moroccan state.

In the decades that followed, the monarchy reinforced its direct control over the armed forces. The King remained Supreme Commander and Chief of the General Staff, while the defence administration developed within a highly centralised political structure.

The royal connection to military command remains visible today. In May 2026, King Mohammed VI appointed Crown Prince Moulay El Hassan as Coordinator of the Offices and Services of the General Staff of the Royal Armed Forces, a position previously held by Mohammed VI himself during his time as crown prince.

This centralised structure reflects the monarchy's long-standing emphasis on political control and institutional loyalty.

But it would be simplistic to conclude that political centralisation automatically prevents combat efficiency. Modern armed forces can operate under highly centralised civilian or royal command structures while maintaining professional training, operational discipline and effective combat capabilities.

The more relevant question for this article is whether the institutional and financial priorities of the Moroccan state can sustain the increasingly complex military force it is building.

The real strategic test lies beyond procurement

Morocco's military modernisation should not be dismissed as a collection of expensive acquisitions. The kingdom has made genuine progress in diversifying its military equipment, improving training infrastructure and developing domestic maintenance capabilities.

Its partnership with Western and Israeli defence companies provides access to advanced technologies that would have been difficult to obtain through older procurement channels.

But the sophistication of an arsenal also increases the complexity of maintaining it.

The country must simultaneously finance new acquisitions, support existing fleets, train specialist personnel, replenish ammunition stocks and invest in domestic industrial capabilities. These demands compete for resources within the same national budget.

The danger is not necessarily an immediate financial crisis. It is the possibility that maintenance and operating commitments gradually absorb the resources needed to expand the force's actual capabilities.

The next phase of Morocco's military modernisation should therefore be judged less by the number of new systems announced and more by the country's ability to sustain what it already possesses.

A fleet of advanced fighters is only as valuable as the hours it can reliably fly. An armoured force is only as powerful as its ability to move, communicate and fight over sustained periods. An air-defence network is only as credible as its ability to detect, engage and replenish.

Ultimately, the most expensive weapon is not the one displayed at a military exhibition or delivered during an official ceremony. It is the one that a country can no longer afford to keep fully operational.

Morocco is building a technologically ambitious military. Whether it can turn that ambition into lasting operational strength will depend not only on its procurement budget, but on the much less visible economics of maintenance.

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